Sunday, February 21, 2016

Originally shared by Dariusz Piotrowski


Originally shared by Dariusz Piotrowski

Columns on the hellenistic stoa of the Acropolis of Lindos,
Rhodes, Greece 2012

Wednesday, February 17, 2016

Thinking about government-mandated backdoors into an encryption technology. The keys and techniques to exploit the backdoor comprise a secret kept by the authorities and the companies involved, and that secret is essentially maintained by a conspiracy of all those individuals. One might ask what is the probability of that secret leaking out of control?

Thinking about  government-mandated backdoors into an encryption technology.  The keys and techniques to exploit the backdoor comprise a secret kept by the authorities and the companies involved, and that secret is essentially maintained by a conspiracy of all those individuals.  One might ask what is the probability of that secret leaking out of control?

The recent paper by David Robert Grimes, "On the Viability of Conspiratorial Beliefs" (http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0147905) provides valuable insight.  (This paper is also discussed by Yonatan Zunger  at http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0147905 )  The upshot is "Conspiracies are made of people, and people are kind of incompetent."

The model Grimes develops doesn't quite fit this case (this is a conspiracy almost all elements of which are public, and the secret great intrinsic value to a number of people), and is highly dependent on a number of parameters.  It seems to me it could be adapted to  deal with our special case very easily. 
http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0147905

Monday, February 15, 2016

Always good to see things from the other guys perspective...


Always good to see things from the other guys perspective...

Originally shared by ****

Haha ..

Another striking campaign photo of HRC

Another striking campaign photo of HRC 

Originally shared by Diane Raucher (broderick)
https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=1686546668284912&set=a.1412054012400847.1073741832.100007887846307&type=3&theater

Originally shared by Jamez Frondeskias


Originally shared by Jamez Frondeskias

You'll be fine ... children aren't a threat to you. Who would recruit children to fight in a war anyway. Right?

Ever heard of child soldiers?

4.6 GPA

4.6 GPA

Originally shared by NBC Bay Area

Noeli Zarate answered every question correctly on her Advanced Placement Spanish exam, becoming one of only 55 students in the world to do so, district officials said. http://nbcbay.com/juIaiPO

"I was surprised by the results considering the complexity of the exam," Zarate admitted.
http://nbcbay.com/juIaiPO

Thursday, February 11, 2016

"Sanders is really talking about what kind of country the US should be, not what it should do"

"Sanders is really talking about what kind of country the US should be, not what it should do"
http://www.vox.com/2016/2/9/10939640/bernie-sanders-foreign-policy

Originally shared by NARAL Pro-Choice America

Originally shared by NARAL Pro-Choice America

"She is the most qualified candidate to be president, and I think she'd make a great one.”
http://nar.al/4ni

Originally shared by Rabid Feminist

Originally shared by Rabid Feminist

Well mostly anyway. Congressional Progressive Caucus Abandons Bernie | GO BLINDLY
http://buff.ly/1KGJ5wJ

Tuesday, February 2, 2016

Originally shared by Shelenn Ayres

Originally shared by Shelenn Ayres

State parties run their own primaries and caucuses. When there is a dispute, they consult both the caucus goers and the DNC when necessary. All candidates know the rules for each state up front and plan their strategies accordingly. All candidates agree to the authority of the state and national parties. While the popular vote does factor in, the delegates are what matters for the nomination. Now that the results for IA are in, let's examine them:

IA gets 44 national pledged delegates and 8 national unpledged delegates.

IDP Rules on State Delegate Math:

First each precinct has a viability number to be awarded delegates

Caucuses that elect 1 delegate -> majority rule

Caucuses that elect 2 delegates -> eligible attendees times 0.25 and round up

Caucuses that elect 3 delegates -> eligible attendees divided by 6 and round up

Caucuses that elect 4 or more delegates -> eligible attendees times 0.15 and round up

Second, except for single delegate precincts, a formula is applied to each viable candidate group to award state delegates

(group members times delegates available)/attendees = delegates group elects


The official state delegate results are:

Clinton Caucus: 700.59  state delegate equivalents
Sanders Caucus: 696.82 state delegate equivalents
O’Malley Caucus: 7.61 state delegate equivalents
Uncommitted Caucus: 0.46 state delegate equivalents

15% minimum per DNC rules is required for pledged national delegates to be awarded and pledged national delegates are awarded proportionally. The official results as of Feb 2, 2016 are:

Clinton: 23
Sanders: 21

For the unpledged delegates, the current standing is:

Clinton: 7
Sanders: 0
Uncommitted: 1

Combined delegate count for IA's 52 convention delegates:

Clinton:30
Sanders: 21
Uncommitted: 1

Final analysis:

Clinton won the popular vote
Clinton won the state delegate vote
Clinton won the pledged delegate vote
Clinton won the unpledged delegate vote
Clinton won the combined delegate vote

Clinton won Iowa
http://iowademocrats.org/statement-from-idp-chair-on-tonights-historically-close-caucus-results/

To the inevitable claims of a conspiracy involving the Clintons, the NYT, AP, and the "corporate media" in general, I offer this quote: "The fact is, conspiracies are made of people, and people are kind of incompetent." ( https://medium.com/@yonatanzunger/the-conspiracy-conspiracy-92b744226448#.u6c3c2aoc)

To the inevitable claims of a conspiracy involving the Clintons, the NYT, AP, and the "corporate media" in general, I offer this quote: "The fact is, conspiracies are made of people, and people are kind of incompetent." ( https://medium.com/@yonatanzunger/the-conspiracy-conspiracy-92b744226448#.u6c3c2aoc)

Originally shared by The New York Times

Hillary Clinton Has Won Iowa Caucuses, Associated Press Says

#hillaryclinton   #iowacaucus  #berniesanders 

http://nyti.ms/23Hkzlz
http://nyti.ms/23Hkzlz